Armenian communists expect at last quarter of votes

Armenian Communist leader Sergey Badalyan has said that unless

his party receives at least 25 per cent of votes in the 30th

May parliamentary elections he will cry foul. He also said that

parliament would be dominated by the left and by the

right-centrist Unity bloc, which is led by Defence Minister

Vazgen Sarkisyan. Badalyan said he thought the former governing

party, the right-wing Armenian Pan-National Movement, would

suffer a "crushing defeat". The following is the text of the

report by the Armenian news agency Snark on 12th May//

Yerevan, 11th May: "The Communist Party has repeatedly said

that these elections are the last chance for the peaceful

settlement of the crisis of power, but nobody has heeded these

appeals apart from the leader of the National Democratic Union

(NDU), Vazgen Manukyan, and the [Armenian Revolutionary

Federation] Dashnaksutyun party [ARFD]," the First Secretary of

the Central Committee of the Communist Party of Armenia (CPA),

Sergey Badalyan, said. He thinks that if an attempt at

falsification of the elections is made this time, then there

will be no elections next time.

"Actually, the CPA is claiming several tens of per cents

of votes, if not the majority of votes," Badalyan said. He

thinks that the authorities are preparing falsification

beforehand, saying that just 15 per cent of voters will vote

for the CPA. "A minimum of 25-30 per cent under the

proportional system and approximately 10 MPs approved by the

electoral commission under the majority system are more or less

acceptable figures for the CPA. We will regard any deviation

from these figures as a case of falsification," Badalyan said.

"Mainly left-wingers and right-centrists will be present

in the future Armenian parliament, and the extreme

right-wingers, including the APNM [Armenian Pan-National

Movement] and its fragments, will suffer a crushing defeat,"

Badalyan said. Moreover, Badalyan considers that although the

right-centrists will be present mainly in the form of the Unity

pre-election bloc, they will get neither an absolute nor even a

simple majority in parliament. Their maximum result will be

about 50 per cent of the votes and this will be if we "take

into account the intimidation, bribery and manhandling of

voters, which are well-known to society," Badalyan thinks. He

considers that, besides the Unity bloc, the ARFD, NDU and CPA

will get into parliament.

"There is no such dominant force today as the APNM was on

the eve of the last elections. The authorities are weak and

rather many-sided and, although they are telling the people

that almost all the seats [in parliament] are already decided,

at present it will be not so easy to do this except by twisting

voters' arms," Badalyan said. The new parliament will be more

in accord with the disposition of political forces than the

previous one, he considers. However, Badalyan does not believe

that one can count on a dramatic change in the situation in the

country and the "victory of logic and steadfast positions"

while the incumbent president [Robert Kocharyan] is in power.

Badalyan said he favoured limiting presidential powers and

transferring them to the parliament and the government.

Source: Snark news agency, Yerevan, in Russian 0430 gmt 12 May

99