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UNITED STATES SKIRTS HUMAN RIGHTS ISSUES WITH
NEW AID TO UZBEKISTAN
1/31/02
Although a delegation of United States Senators in Uzbekistan
on January 9 suggested
that repression in that country would force limits on American
aid, specific requirements for human rights progress are unlikely
to appear in new economic aid legislation. On January 30,
State Department spokesperson Richard Boucher confirmed
that Uzbekistan could expect $160 million in aid this year,
a threefold increase over prior levels. This increase, after
the Senators' cautionary remarks, indicates that lawmakers'
fervor to secure current alliances will probably outweigh
any insistence on short-term reform as long as Afghanistan
remains unstable.
According to someone knowledgeable about Senate activity,
lawmakers take it as given that Uzbekistan, Tajikistan and
Kyrgyzstan - states which border Afghanistan or will feel
the effects of Afghan upheaval - will require increases in
American aid. These countries have hosted troops in the American-led
coalition or facilitated aid deliveries into Afghanistan,
and economic payback of some form is a common expectation.
But the strategy behind this payback, according to someone
with knowledge of the Senate deliberation process, focuses
on keeping the region as stable as possible in the immediate
term. This will mean incorporating aid to Kazakhstan, which
barely contributed to the Afghan campaign, in a supplemental
Afghan aid bill. It will also mean encouraging outward-looking
regimes in the more active countries. But it will probably
not mean formal mandates on free speech or civil society progress,
which some fear could antagonize leaders and destabilize the
fragile peace.
Lawmakers in the Democratic-controlled Senate have managed
to register their human rights concerns. Paul
Wellstone (D-Minn.), one of the most liberal Senators,
added language to the Foreign Operations bill in October that
requires the State Department to report on Uzbek human rights.
But the Bush administration has clearly sought to address
human rights questions through diplomacy rather than through
withholding or restructuring aid. Uzbek authorities themselves
have acknowledged
some of their excesses in recent days.
The administration's caution emphasizes the need for strategic
clarity. The government is loath to alienate the ethnic Tajiks
and Uzbeks who dominate Afghanistan's Northern Alliance; it
also worries about weakening presidents' power when the alternatives
are unclear. Moreover, says an expert, Congress does not want
to get into the business of championing specific dissident
groups. "We've given these [leaders] some rope because
no one is going to clamor for infinite liberties of a group
that we're not sure is peaceful," he says.
In the case of Uzbekistan, the focus on security forces American
diplomats to deflect charges of hypocrisy. The State Department
announced its $160 million commitment while criticizing Uzbek
President Islam Karimov for an orchestrated January 27 referendum
that extended his term, possibly for life. [For
more information, see the EurasiaNet archives.] When a
reporter asked Boucher if the increase in funding amounted
to "rewarding
human rights abuses," Boucher
disputed the idea. The money, he said, would fortify Uzbekistan's
progress toward democracy "in the form of technical assistance,
educational visits to the US, grants to non-governmental organizations
and local communities, credits for small business, and humanitarian
aid such as food and medicine."
Experts inside and outside Washington warn that unless aid
is couched in these terms, it could actually have detrimental
effects. For one thing, they say, it could persuade neighboring
Tajikistan that intensified crackdowns, under an antiterrorist
guise, could bring economic benefit. Tajikistan has received
commitments for $3.2 million in aid from the United Kingdom
in January, and French military representatives are working
toward security agreements with the Tajik defense ministry.
That leaves US aid to Tajikistan a relatively docile issue.
"I think the Tajiks are happy with whatever they're getting,"
says an expert.
American aid to Uzbekistan, strategically and philosophically,
draws more attention. That seems to please Karimov - state-controlled
media ran reports on January 31 of a new military alliance
between Tashkent and Washington. The US' gamble is that Karimov
will understand that his good fortune depends on the US' military
needs and his own behavior. Elizabeth Jones, the Assistant
Secretary of State for European and Eurasian Affairs, told
a Senate panel on December 13 that Secretary of State Colin
Powell had laid out his concerns in meetings with Karimov
and Kazakhstan's Nursultan Nazarbayev. "He was able to
make the case that without the fundamental abilities of citizens
to vote, to choose their leaders, to determine their fate,
to have jobs, to work, to be prosperous, and to choose their
work, that stability will always be out of reach," Jones
told senators. The US figures to keep matching such warnings
with aid as long as it does not know who or where its enemies
are.

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Posted January 31, 2002 © Eurasianet
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