Alexander Rondeli,
Director of the Foreign Policy Research and Analysis Center
at Georgia’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Comments on Geopolitical
Conditions in the Caucasus
8/21/00
Georgia and Russia have been at odds in recent months. The
two countries have bickered over the closure of Russian military
bases in Georgia, and have sparred over the issue of control
of Georgia’s border with the renegade Russian province of
Chechnya. For some local perspective into Georgian-Russian
relations and other security issues, EurasiaNet interviewed
Alexander Rondeli, Director of the Foreign Policy Research
and Analysis Center in the Ministry of Foreign Affairs in
Tbilisi. Dr. Rondeli is also Professor in the Department of
International Law and International Relations of Tbilisi State
University. He has held an IREX Mid-Career Fellowship at Princeton
University's Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International
Affairs, taught at Williams College and Emory University in
the United States. The interview was conducted by Dr. Robert
M. Cutler <rmc@alum.mit.edu>
on August 14. The text of the interview follows:
EurasiaNet: What is Georgia's evaluation of relations
with Russia?
Rondeli: Our relations with Russia are good, but there
are still many unresolved problems.
EurasiaNet: Last November, at the OSCE summit in Istanbul,
Russia agreed to evacuate its four remaining military bases
in Georgia: Vaziani, near the capital Tbilisi; Gudauta, in
Abkhazia; Akhalkalaki, in the southern region of Javakheti;
and Batumi, in Ajaria. How have the negotiations with Russia
over this withdrawal proceeded?
Rondeli: Russia has to reduce its military hardware
in Georgia by 358 Treaty Limited Equipment (TLE), which includes
such pieces as tanks, armored personnel carriers, and artillery
pieces. Russia has in fact started to evacuate the bases at
Vaziani and Gudauta. The first shipments of Russian matériel,
comprising 54 pieces and including 29 TLE have been removed
from the Vaziani base. By the end of August, matériel
will be removed from Gudauta as well. The second stage of
the withdrawal will then take place from September 5 through
10.
EurasiaNet: There was some disagreement about whether
Russia would retain the airfield at Vaziani, which, strictly
speaking, is said to be outside the perimeter of the base
itself. Has the question of the status of the airfield been
resolved?
Rondeli: The airfield in Vaziani will go under Georgian
control, but Georgia will allow Russia to use also the airfield
to certain extent, [for as long as] Russian bases remain in
Georgia. The dates for evacuating the [other] two bases, Akhalkalaki
and Batumi, have to be defined separately.
EurasiaNet: Have you the impression that there may
be elements within the Russian security forces that are not
interested in stable state-to-state relations?
Rondeli: We have to admit that there are some negative
impulses towards Georgia. For me it is difficult to say where
these impulses come from, but they became clearly seen when,
with the beginning of Chechen events, an aggressive propaganda
war started in Russia against Georgia. Georgia was portrayed
as a contributor to Chechen separatism. The Russian media
are not, in general, very kind towards Georgia. I think it
does not contribute to the improvement of our relations.
EurasiaNet: How did the recent Russian military action
in Chechnya affect Georgia?
Rondeli: The war in Chechnya, which is on Georgia's
border, creates many problems for us. First of all, we admitted
around 7,000 refugees from Chechnya, at a time when Georgia
already has a problem of more than three hundred thousand
refugees, mostly from Abkhazia. To have war on your border
cannot be a pleasant thing for any country, especially in
the Caucasus.
EurasiaNet: At one time Russia wished to form joint
Russian-Georgian patrols of Georgia's border in the region
of Chechnya. What is the situation there now?
Rondeli: The Chechen section of our border with Russia
is monitored by an OSCE team, and we consider this as a very
positive fact. Russians control the border from their side,
and our border-guards from our side. They are in close contact
and cooperate.
EurasiaNet: Is the situation stable in South Ossetia?
Rondeli: The situation in the Tskhinvali region (South
Ossetia) is stable. There are positive processes there.
EurasiaNet: Do you anticipate that Russia's withdrawal
from the Gudauta base in Abkhazia will facilitate the positive
resolution of the conflict between Sukhumi and Tbilisi?
Rondeli: I think that Russian withdrawal from Gudauta
base will contribute positively to resolving the conflict
between Tbilisi and Sukhumi.
EurasiaNet: What are today the main obstacles to such
a resolution?
Rondeli: The main obstacle to such a resolution remains
the unconstructive position of Abkhazian side, which insists
on the recognition of Abkhazia as an independent state.
EurasiaNet: Many proposals have been made concerning
the type of political relations that should be established
between Abkhazia and the political center in Georgia: federation,
confederation, "common state", etc. In your view, what is
the most practical solution and how is it to be achieved?
Rondeli: Georgia several times stated its position:
Territorial integrity of Georgia, existence of the sole constitutional
field, and the widest possible form of self-governance for
Abkhazia to be constitutionally and internationally guaranteed
within that framework. … The main obstacle in the negotiation
process is the, to put it mildly, unconstructive position
of Abkhaz side, insisting on the recognition of their [Abkhaz]
independence as precondition. Georgia is ready to continue
negotiation process in the Geneva format.
EurasiaNet: Two important pipelines in which Georgia's
participation is key, are the Baku-Ceyhan oil pipeline and
the gas pipeline into Turkey from the offshore Azerbaijani
deposit in the Shah-Deniz field. What will be the contribution
of these projects to the development of Georgia's economy?
Rondeli: We see pipelines not just in an economic
context but as a solid base for strengthening our country's
security, and also as a tool for deepening regional cooperation
in the Caucasus. Georgia is for a multiple pipeline model
and against any [transport] monopoly. The Baku-Ceyhan oil
pipeline and the gas pipeline from Shah-Deniz would be an
axis for the transport corridor. We are happy with the idea
of a gas pipeline through Georgia from Shah-Deniz into Turkey.
The Trans-Caspian Gas Pipeline project is also positively
viewed in Georgia. Georgia's view is that the web of pipelines
in the region will not only contribute to the economies of
participants, but also strengthen regional economic and security
cooperation.
EurasiaNet: Will the security of these pipelines be
a problem, and how will that problem be addressed?
Rondeli: Pipeline security will not be a problem.
It will be a serious task, but not a problem. We and our partners,
Azerbaijan and Turkey, are already seriously working on this.
According to the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan pipeline agreement, Georgia
is responsible for the [pipeline's] security on its territory
and has to fulfill that obligation.
EurasiaNet: What is Georgia's view of the different
proposals for a Caucasus Stability Pact that have been made
over the last several months?
Rondeli: Georgia is keenly interested in stability
in the Caucasus. We always have a positive view of the initiatives
directed towards stability and cooperation in the region.
We cannot see our future without stability and cooperation
in the Caucasus, I believe.
EurasiaNet: Are you familiar in particular with the
proposal for a Caucasus Stability Pact? What is Georgia's
view of this proposal?
Rondeli: A Caucasus Stability Pact … has to be considered
as an extremely timely and important document. There are many
issues in it that need to be discussed, but this is to be
expected, especially when we deal with so complicated and
distinct a region as the Caucasus, and when such a document
proposes "paradigm shifts" in the approach to regional stability.
This Pact can play only a positive role in developing regional
stability arrangements for the Caucasus.
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Posted August 21, 2000 © Eurasianet
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